{"id":4918,"date":"2022-02-20T10:39:45","date_gmt":"2022-02-20T18:39:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/?p=4918"},"modified":"2022-02-21T03:38:00","modified_gmt":"2022-02-21T11:38:00","slug":"draftkings-10-k-reveals-true-levels-of-loss","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/news\/draftkings-10-k-reveals-true-levels-of-loss\/","title":{"rendered":"DraftKings 10-K reveals true levels of loss"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cDraftKings has a history of losses and we may continue to incur losses in the future.\u201d<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So runs the warnings section of DraftKings\u2019 SEC results document. It is a standard line, but it is worth bearing in mind, all the same when looking at the company\u2019s bottom line.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For 2021 as a whole, DraftKings notched up an EBITDA loss of $676.1m, up 72.5% on the figure from 2020. This was on revenues that rose 101% to $1.3bn.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The losses were caused by a 129% increase in the cost of revenue to $794.2m, a 98.2% rise in sales and marketing expenses to $981.5m, and a 50.4% uplift in spending on product and technology to $253.7m.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company made a loss from operations of $1.56bn. So, how do we get to an EBITDA figure that is less than half that?<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>Share-based rewards<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Well, the company adds back $683.3m of stock-based compensation which itself rose 110% year-on-year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That is, the company lavished on its employees almost three-quarters of a billion dollars of stock-based largesse.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is far more than the shared-based rewards at any of its rivals. According to Entain\u2019s 2020 annual report, share-based payments totaled \u00a314.8m. At Flutter, the total for 2020 was \u00a352.1m.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These levels of share-based payments are familiar to all high-growth companies, and even non-high-growth companies.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In 2021, PayPal dished out $1.2bn of stock to employees. Snap gave out $1.1bn. Meta (formerly Facebook) handed out a whopping $9.2bn.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>The theory behind stock-based compensation<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stock-based compensation refers to the payments of options and stock awards to employees.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For those working at the company, as much as for investors, the appeal of a business such as DraftKings is what it could be in, say, five years.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is often sold as being one of the perks of the job. You get to share in the company\u2019s success and the harder you work, so the theory runs, the better the company performs and the better the company performs, the better the share price performance and, ultimately, the better the compensation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To use the dreaded f-word, it is the flywheel effect in motion.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>The accounting treatment issue<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, issues start to arise when it comes out to how such compensation is accounted for.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While stock awards have value, they are a non-cash item. As such, a company gets to add back the value of the compensation at an EBITDA level.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Hence the difference between net losses and the EBITDA losses.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Any CFO would validly point out that it is not paying out any actual money for these awards.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But, that stock-based compensation is still <i>instead of<\/i><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0pay and bonus awards i.e. actual cash.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>Why this matters<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Moreover, that flywheel effect only works if the stock is on an upward trajectory. It doesn\u2019t work so well as an incentive when the stock is heading in the wrong direction.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All those people working away at DraftKings will rightly say they have held up their end of the bargain; they have sweated the hours and their success is there for all to see in the rising top-line.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But part of their reward is now sunk below the waterline. Indeed, the employees will have been eyeing the share price decline in the lost year with some dismay. Over the past 12 months, the stock has fallen by over 71%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Given the competitive nature of the sports-betting sector &#8211; not to mention the obvious attractions of other high-growth sectors &#8211; it is not hard to think that DraftKings employees might be tempted to go elsewhere if their current rewards package is less than what they bargained for.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>All this before the Golden Nugget transaction<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Employees won\u2019t be the only ones eyeing the ongoing share price issues. DraftKings will soon complete its acquisition of Golden Nugget Online Gaming, an all-share deal which, as the 10-K also confirmed, comes with an \u201cimplied equity value\u201d of ~$1.56bn.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In other words, equity to the value of ~one-fifth of the current depressed market cap of $7.02bn is soon to come onto the market.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The GNOG deal will, it might be surmised, represent an unwanted injection of liquidity for those already holding DraftKings shares.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Taken with the stock-based compensation, it also gives the impression of a company that is hooked on using what it considers to be largely cost-free paper.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(It is worth recalling, at this point, that when DraftKings made public its interest in buying Entain for $22bn, it was also predicated on a large element of paper-based calculations. That bid came when the DraftKings share price was trading at around the $50-a-share mark, well more than its current level of around $17.30.)<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>Position open &#8211; confidence builder<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As was evident from the share price reaction to the earnings on Friday, the markets appear to have lost confidence in DraftKings\u2019 ability to deliver the promised bounty from the sports betting and iGaming opportunity in the U.S.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s a situation it needs to remedy, not least because if it fails to do so, it might lose the confidence of an altogether more important constituency &#8211; its staff.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cDraftKings has a history of losses and we may continue to incur losses in the future.\u201d So runs the warnings section of DraftKings\u2019 SEC results document. It is a standard line, but it is worth bearing in mind, all the same when looking at the company\u2019s bottom line. For 2021 as a whole, DraftKings notched [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[324],"tags":[590],"class_list":["post-4918","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-draftkings"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4918","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4918"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4918\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4947,"href":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4918\/revisions\/4947"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4918"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4918"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wagers.com\/staging\/4285\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4918"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}